Lesson preview · Types Of Unemployment

Types of Unemployment

~10 min · Free to read

Last lesson you learned who counts as unemployed. Now the harder question: why are they unemployed? Even in the best year on record, around 4 in every 100 workers are jobless. Unemployment never falls to zero — and the reason it doesn’t is the key to fixing it.

People are out of work for three very different reasons, and economists give each its own name. The difference isn’t academic: each type calls for a completely different policy response.

Key Term

Frictional unemployment

People between jobs — searching, switching, or just starting out. A new graduate sending applications, or someone who quit a bad job to find a better one. It’s short-term and basically healthy: it means workers and firms are taking time to find a good match. Even a booming economy with more jobs than people will always have some, because matching takes time.

Key Term

Structural unemployment

A mismatch between the workers available and the jobs on offer — in skills, or in location. The jobs exist, but not for these people, here, now. A laid-off coal miner can’t simply become a nurse or a coder overnight. Caused by automation, trade, or whole industries declining. It lasts much longer than frictional unemployment, because closing the gap means retraining or moving.

Key Term

Cyclical unemployment

Joblessness caused by the business cycle — the economy-wide ups and downs. In a recession, spending falls, so firms sell less, so they lay workers off. It rises in downturns and falls in booms, and it can vanish entirely when the economy recovers. This is the type that demand-side policy — government spending, tax cuts, lower interest rates — is designed to fight.

Key Term

The natural rate, and "full employment"

Natural rate of unemployment = frictional + structural. It’s the unemployment that remains even when the economy is firing on all cylinders, because some people are always between jobs or mismatched. When cyclical unemployment is zero — no recession dragging things down — the economy is at full employment, sitting right on its natural rate.

So “full employment” does not mean zero unemployment. It means no cyclical unemployment.

Interactive — The floor that never goes away
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The US unemployment rate plotted against the natural-rate floor, 1971–2022, with the cyclical gap shaded, revealed one era at a time.

That’s the whole lesson in one picture. The natural-rate floor — frictional plus structural — barely moves, because retraining workers and reshaping industries is slow. What lurches up and down is the cyclical gap above it. And because only that gap is driven by weak demand, only that gap responds to demand-side stimulus. Diagnose the type wrong and the cure won’t work.

The cyclical part is simply how far the actual rate sits above its natural-rate floor. At full employment it is zero.

Trap · Common Misconception

One cure does not fit all unemployment

It’s tempting to think “unemployment is high, so spend more to create jobs.” That works for cyclical unemployment — a demand shortfall you can fill. It does almost nothing for structural unemployment, where the problem is that workers’ skills don’t match the jobs. Pumping demand into a region whose only factory has closed for good won’t re-employ those workers; they need retraining or relocation. Matching the policy to the type is the whole point of naming them.

Check yourself · no marks

A region’s car factories install robots and lay off thousands of assembly workers. Years later those workers are still jobless, even though the national economy is booming. What type of unemployment is this, and would a national spending stimulus fix it?

Commit to one first. Guessing and being wrong beats reading the answer cold.

Worked Example

An economy has frictional unemployment of 2.5%, structural unemployment of 2.0%, and an actual unemployment rate of 9.0%. (a) Find the natural rate and the cyclical unemployment. (b) A recovery then closes the demand gap. What does the unemployment rate fall to, and can good policy push it lower still?

Practice · 1 / 4

A software developer quits her job and spends two months choosing between several better offers. While she’s choosing, what type of unemployment is she?

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